Table of contents
- ASML share forecast 2025: After a setback, is the trend now turning?
- Watch ASML stock analysis 2025 as a video now
- What does ASML do?
- New quarterly figures
- Explanation of possible risks or price declines
- Analysts' comments on ASML share forecast
- Valuation and price development
- Conclusion on ASML shares
- Try TransparentShare free for 30 days
- Download links for the app
ASML share forecast 2025: After a setback, is the trend now turning?
Our ASML Analysis in July 2025 showed that the stock plummeted by over eleven percent despite strong quarterly figures. The reason was the lack of an outlook for 2026. A lot has happened since then. Analyst sentiment has improved, the company is investing in future technologies, and TransparentShare's valuation is rising again. In this article, you'll learn how the situation has changed and whether investing now might be worthwhile.
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What does ASML do?
ASML is a Dutch high-tech company and the world's leading manufacturer of chip production machines. This technology is used by all major semiconductor manufacturers, including Intel, Samsung, and TSMC. Without ASML, there would be no modern processors or AI chips. Its core competency lies in EUV (Extreme Ultraviolet Lithography) technology, which enables particularly fine chip structures. With its new high-NA EUV systems, ASML is driving the next generation of semiconductor production and consolidating its market leadership.
New quarterly figures
ASML will publish its new quarterly figures on October 15, 2025. Analysts expect revenues between €7.4 billion and €7.9 billion. Order development and the outlook for 2026 are particularly crucial for ASML shares. Investors are hoping for confirmation of the company's previous growth targets.
Explanation of possible risks or price declines
Risks remain due to geopolitical uncertainties. Export restrictions to China or new tariffs could impact sales of certain systems. The production of high-NA EUV systems also remains complex and expensive. In the short term, economic weaknesses at major customers such as Intel or Samsung could impact order intake.
Analysts' opinions on ASML shares
Since July 2025, the tone in analyst reports has noticeably improved. UBS and JPMorgan have raised their price targets. The consensus currently stands at around €870, while the stock is trading at around €816 (closing price on October 10, 2025). Overall, the outlook is predominantly positive: The majority of analysts recommend buying or overweight the stock.
Valuation and price development
In July 2025, TransparentShare rated ASML stock at -2 points – no buy recommendation. Meanwhile (as of October 10, 2025), the rating is at +2 points. This represents a clear improvement and indicates a potential turnaround. If the "reaction to quarterly results" indicator turns out to be positive, the rating could rise to +4 points, and ASML would become a buy recommendation.
View the current valuation of ASML shares now
Conclusion on ASML shares
ASML remains one of Europe's most important technology companies. Its quarterly results on October 15 are eagerly awaited. Its strong market position, high margins, and growing demand for chips create long-term potential. Investors focused on long-term growth should keep an eye on ASML—especially if its TransparentShare rating rises to +4 points.
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Note: All information is provided without guarantee. This article does not constitute investment advice and is not a substitute for individual advice.
