BAT Share 2025 – On the way to a smoke-free future

BAT shares in 2025 with a 6.4 percent dividend and a growing smoke-free business. Is it worth investing now?
Reading time: 3 Minutes
Modified on: 07.10.2025
British American Tobacco - BAT Share 2025

Table of contents

Change instead of smoke – is it worth getting started now?

The British American Tobacco The stock combines stable dividends with a clear transformation strategy. The company aims to introduce adult smokers to alternatives without burning tobacco. This article provides an easy-to-understand breakdown of the most important key figures, opportunities, and risks, as well as the current valuation in the TransparentShare app. This allows you to quickly assess whether the stock fits your investment strategy.

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What does British American Tobacco (BAT) do

British American Tobacco, or BAT for short, is one of the world's largest manufacturers of nicotine products. In addition to traditional cigarette brands, the company is increasingly focusing on so-called new categories. These include all smoke-free nicotine-containing products. These include e-cigarettes under the Vuse brand, heated tobacco products under the glo brand, and modern nicotine pouches under the Velo brand. The goal is a smoke-free future. By 2030, 50 million adult consumers are to use these alternatives. By 2035, BAT aims to generate half of its group sales from these categories. This focus reduces its dependence on the declining cigarette market and opens up new, high-margin revenue streams.

Analysis of business figures

In the first half of 2025, BAT increased its adjusted earnings per share to 162 pence. This corresponds to approximately €1.90 and is slightly above the previous year's figure. Group sales grew by 1.8 percent on a currency-adjusted basis. New Categories performed particularly dynamically. This segment now accounts for 18 percent of total sales. 30.5 million people already use BAT's smoke-free products. The Group confirms its annual targets and continues to invest in product launches and the scaling of production and distribution.

Explanation of possible risks or price declines

Significant risks lie in the regulation of nicotine products. In key markets such as the US and EU, stricter rules could lead to delays in approvals and restrict distribution. Competition in the smoke-free categories is intense. Several suppliers are vying for market share in heated tobacco products, nicotine pouches, and e-cigarettes. Exchange rate effects impact the reported figures due to BAT's global operations. The traditional cigarette business continues to decline and may experience periods of price pressure and tax increases. Short-term share price declines are therefore possible if growth and margin expectations in the new business are not met.

Analyst opinions

Many analysts view the strategy positively and expect further growth in the smoke-free categories. The consensus is around £45 per share, equivalent to approximately €52. Optimists point to scalable product platforms and robust free cash flows. Cautious assessments emphasize regulatory uncertainties and intense competition. Overall, the consensus reflects the expectation that BAT can further consolidate its transition to the smoke-free business.

Valuation and price development

The BAT share price for 2025 is currently rated at +5 points in the TransparentShare app (October 7, 2025). The stock was already recommended as a buy on September 22, 2025. Expected earnings growth, a solid equity ratio, and the positive reaction to quarterly figures are positive factors. The share price is currently trading approximately 14 percent below its annual high. The dividend yield is 6.4 percent and is considered attractive compared to other stocks in the EURO STOXX 50.

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Conclusion with recommendation

BAT stands for stability and change at the same time. Its strategy toward smoke-free products is clear, and user numbers are rising. The combination of a high dividend, solid cash flow, and a growing share of new business makes the stock attractive to income-oriented investors. Those who believe in the further expansion of new categories will find this an opportunity with a defensive profile. At the same time, the aforementioned risks should be kept in mind. For existing investors, holding the stock with a focus on dividends and progress in new categories is advisable. For newcomers, a gradual build-up may be sensible, especially during setbacks.

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More information about BAT

Investor Relations Page: British American Tobacco

Note: All information is provided without guarantee. This article does not constitute investment advice and is not a substitute for individual advice.

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Andreas Hauser

Andreas is the founder and managing director of TranspaShare GmbH. He has been passionate about the stock market for over 30 years – and has been at home in the technology industry for just as long. With TransparentShare, he combines stock market expertise and IT to provide investors in the emotionally charged world of stocks with objective analyses and greater clarity for their decisions.

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