Cisco stock: AI orders are rising

Cisco recently delivered a record quarter with 12 percent revenue growth and increasing orders from the AI sector. Here's how the stock is currently rated and what you should pay attention to as an investor.
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Last updated: July 21, 2026
Cisco stock: TransparentShare's valuation

In this article you will learn:

Cisco stock: Why is it currently in such high focus?

Cisco Systems is one of the world's leading providers of networking technology. The company provides the hardware and software that connects and protects data centers, enterprise networks, and cloud infrastructures. With over 40 years of experience, Cisco is considered a backbone of the modern internet.

Cisco is currently benefiting from two strong growth trends: the massive expansion of artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure by large customers and a broad renewal cycle for enterprise campus networks. Both are leading to a sharp increase in orders and ensuring that the Cisco Systems stock has gained significant momentum since the beginning of 2026.

TransparentShare recommended the stock as a buy on February 13, 2026, at a price of €63.11. Since then, the price has risen considerably. On July 20, 2026, the stock was trading at €97.67, representing an increase of approximately 55 percent since the recommendation.

View Cisco Systems review

Cisco News: What events were important in recent weeks?

The most important event was the release of the results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026 on May 13, 2026. Cisco achieved record revenue and exceeded the upper end of its own forecast for both revenue and adjusted earnings per share.

Particularly noteworthy is the sharp increase in orders from the AI sector. Cisco has raised its outlook for total AI-related order volume in fiscal year 2026 from $5 billion to $9 billion. This demonstrates the significant rise in demand for network infrastructure for AI systems.

At the same time, Cisco announced a restructuring plan on the same day. The goal is to strategically shift resources to growth areas such as semiconductors, fiber optics, security, and AI. The company aims to strengthen its competitive position in the long term with this move.

Cisco anticipates pre-tax costs of up to $1 billion for the restructuring. Of this, approximately $450 million is expected to be incurred in the fourth quarter of 2026.

What is the current share price?

On July 20, 2026, the closing price of Cisco Systems stock was €97.67. This represents a price approximately 13 percent below the year's high.

 

Cisco Systems stock: 1-year chart
Cisco stock: 1-year chart (Source: Onvista)

The one-year chart shows a striking price development: In the summer of 2025, the stock was still trading in the range of €56 to €60. From January 2026, a steep rise began, taking the stock to a yearly high of €112.30 in June 2026. Since then, the price has fallen back slightly to around €97 to €98.

A three-year comparison makes the extent of the development even clearer. At the beginning of 2024, the stock was trading at around €40 to €50, reaching a low of €40.82 on the three-year chart. The price recovery from mid-2025 onward was substantial and demonstrates how dramatically the market environment for Cisco has changed. Investors should bear in mind that strong upward phases can also be followed by pullbacks.

Cisco stock: What aspects of the figures are of particular interest to investors?

Sales and profit

In the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, Cisco achieved record revenue of $15.8 billion, a 12 percent increase compared to the same period of the previous year. Product sales grew by 17 percent, led by the networking segment with a 25 percent increase.

Net income according to generally accepted accounting standards (GAAP) was $3.4 billion, an increase of 35 percent. Earnings per share (GAAP) rose from $0.62 to $0.85, an increase of 37 percent. On an adjusted basis (excluding special items), earnings per share were $1.06, up 10 percent year-over-year.

Despite strong growth, the adjusted gross margin declined from 68.6 to 66.0 percent. However, the adjusted operating margin remained at a high level of 34.2 percent.

In the first nine months of fiscal year 2026, revenue totaled $46.1 billion, also an increase of 10 percent. This shows that the growth is not a one-off event, but continues over several quarters.

outlook

Cisco expects revenue of $16.7 billion to $16.9 billion for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026. Adjusted earnings per share are projected to be $1.16 to $1.18. For the full year 2026, the company anticipates revenue of $62.8 billion to $63.0 billion.

Cisco points out that the outlook takes into account the potential impact of import tariffs, which were estimated based on current trade policies. Changes in trade policy could affect the results.

Rating

According to TransparentShare, Cisco's price-to-earnings ratio (P/E ratio), which is the ratio between the current share price and earnings per share, is currently 34.42. This is higher than Cisco's historical average. Calculated over a five-year period, the P/E ratio is 27.80, which is somewhat more moderate.

A high price-to-earnings ratio (P/E ratio) means that investors are willing to pay more for every euro of profit. This usually reflects high growth expectations. Whether these expectations will be met in the long term is uncertain.

Market reaction

The market reacted positively to the quarterly results from May 2026. According to TransparentShare, the stock price rose by 12.62 percent, indicating a clearly positive surprise. The share price continued to climb in the weeks following the release, reaching its yearly high.

Outlook: What could become important in the coming weeks?

The next important date for investors is the release of the results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026. The next important date is the release of the results for the fourth quarter and the entire fiscal year 2026. The expected date for the announcement is August 19, 2026.

Market observers will be paying particular attention to the development of AI orders. Cisco had announced that it expects $9 billion in AI-related orders for the entire fiscal year 2026. Whether this target is met is likely to significantly influence the share price.

It's important to know that forecasts about future share price movements are not a guarantee. Even well-positioned companies can come under short-term pressure if the market environment or investor expectations shift.

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Cisco stock price target: What do the analysts say?

According to data from MarketScreener Twenty-six analysts have issued an average price target of $130.23 for Cisco Systems stock. The consensus rating is "Outperform," meaning that the majority of analysts have a positive outlook on the stock. Thirteen analysts rate the stock as a "Buy," four as "Outperform," eight recommend holding it, and only one rates it as "Underperform.".

Since Cisco is listed on the US stock exchange in US dollars, German investors need to convert the price into euros. With an exchange rate of approximately 0.90 euros per US dollar, this results in an average price target of about 117 euros. The current price of 97.67 euros would therefore be about 20 percent below this average target. The exchange rate fluctuates daily, so this value may vary.

The highest price target among the surveyed analysts is $150 (approximately €135), while the lowest is $90 (approximately €81). This range indicates differing assessments of future developments. An analyst's price target is not a guarantee of a specific price movement.

Dividend 2026: Does this play a major role for investors?

Cisco recently declared a quarterly dividend of $0.42 per share. The payment will be made on July 22, 2026, to shareholders of record as of July 6, 2026.

Cisco is therefore not a classic dividend stock held primarily for its high regular payouts. The dividend yield of 1.50 percent is moderate and is likely to be an additional rather than a primary reason for most investors to invest.

Cisco's current focus is clearly on growth prospects in network infrastructure and AI. Investors primarily seeking regular, high payouts should compare the dividend yield to other sectors.

Should you buy Cisco stock or not: What questions should you ask yourself as a beginner?

Before making a decision, the following questions can help you find your own point of view. This section does not replace investment advice, but is intended to encourage reflection.

  • Do you understand Cisco's business model and can you assess why the company benefits from AI and network infrastructure?
  • Are you prepared to withstand potential price fluctuations, even if the price falls again after a strong rise?
  • Would a US technology stock fit into your existing portfolio, or do you already have a high proportion of technology stocks there?
  • What is your investment horizon? Cisco is more suitable for long-term investors than for short-term speculation.
  • How do you deal with currency risk? The share price is quoted in US dollars, and fluctuations in the exchange rate affect your return in euros.
  • Have you taken note of the latest quarterly figures and the company outlook, and can you put them into perspective?

These questions will help you make an informed decision that suits your personal situation. Strategy and knowledge are more important than short-term stock market speculation.

How does TransparentShare rate Cisco stock?

As of July 20, 2026, TransparentShare rates Cisco Systems stock with the status Buy recommendation. The current exchange rate on that day was 97.67 euros.

TransparentShare follows a systematic approach: More than 1,300 stocks worldwide are analyzed and evaluated according to uniform criteria. You can find more information about this approach here. here.

The TransparentShare classification provides a point of reference but does not replace individual investment advice. It shows how the stock is classified based on objective criteria as of the respective cut-off date.

View the full Cisco Systems review now

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TransparentShare currently recommends 60 shares to buy. The evaluation is current as of July 21, 2026. Over 1,300 stocks worldwide are evaluated.

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Cisco stock: Conclusion

Cisco Systems stock has performed strongly in recent months. Since TransparentShare issued a buy recommendation in February 2026 at €63.11, the price has climbed to a yearly high of €112.30 and is currently trading at €97.67. This represents an increase of approximately 55 percent since the recommendation.

This development is based on strong operating results: record quarterly revenue, significantly increased orders from the AI sector, and a raised annual outlook. At the same time, the valuation is no longer attractive after the share price increase, and a restructuring plan brings short-term uncertainty.

TransparentShare continues to rate the stock as a buy recommendation as of July 20, 2026. If you would like to see the full rating and compare it with other stocks, the TransparentShare app will help you refine your own assessment.

Where can I find official information about Cisco?

Official and up-to-date financial information about Cisco Systems can be found directly on the company's investor relations page. Quarterly reports, presentations, and press releases are published there.

The quarterly report for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026 and other financial data can be found on the official Cisco Systems quarterly results page. It is recommended to always obtain information from these original sources.

Frequently Asked Questions about Cisco Stock

What does Cisco do and why does the company benefit from AI?

Cisco Systems manufactures networking technology—the hardware and software that connects computers, data centers, and cloud systems. As artificial intelligence transports enormous amounts of data over high-speed networks, the demand for this infrastructure is increasing dramatically. Cisco benefits from this trend because it is one of the leading companies in this field.

What is the dividend yield of Cisco Systems stock?

Cisco pays a quarterly dividend. Most recently, it was $0.42 per share for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026. The current dividend yield is around 1.50 percent, which is rather moderate. Cisco is less known as a dividend stock and more as a growth company in the technology sector.

How can I have Cisco stock systematically evaluated?

TransparentShare analyzes over 1,300 stocks worldwide according to uniform criteria and reassesses them regularly. As of July 20, 2026, Cisco Systems stock has a "Buy" rating. In the TransparentShare app, you can view the full rating and compare the stock with other securities. The app can be tested free for 21 days with the coupon code T21.

Risk warning: The assessments provided by TransparentShare are for informational purposes only and do not replace individual advice. All information is provided without guarantee.
This article was initially created with AI support and reviewed and approved by the TransparentShare editorial team before publication.

Picture of Andreas Hauser

Andreas Hauser

Andreas is the founder and managing director of TranspaShare GmbH. He has been passionate about the stock market for over 30 years – and has been at home in the technology industry for just as long. With TransparentShare, he combines stock market expertise and IT to provide investors in the emotionally charged world of stocks with objective analyses and greater clarity for their decisions.

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